Makaha, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Makaha

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Makaha leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 50% of adults in Makaha typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Makaha, ~30% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Makaha compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Makaha leans more Democratic than 21 of 27 neighbors.

Makaha runs about 5 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Makaha leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Makaha, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in Makaha hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Makaha have never been married, above 91% of cities.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Makaha, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Makaha looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 44% of households in Makaha rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Makaha report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.