Nashville leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Nashville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nashville, ~20% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nashville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nashville leans more Republican than 47 of 85 neighbors.
Nashville runs about 50 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Nashville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Nashville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nashville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nashville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Nashville runs about 50 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Nashville, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Nashville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Nashville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 56%). Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Parcells Corner, NY R+40
- West Perrysburg, NY R+35
- Cottage, NY R+45
- Smith Mills, NY R+36
- Perrysburg, NY R+26
- Forestville, NY R+37
- Dayton, NY R+45
- South Dayton, NY R+49
- Versailles, NY D+32
- Irving, NY D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Doyon, ND R+47
- Pickwick, MS R+34
- White, MI R+15
- Rowena, GA Even
- Marlboro, ME D+6
- Mandeville, WV R+60
- East Stanwood, WA R+23
- Moccasin, CA R+41
- Felton, AR D+7
- Chiefton, WV R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.