Smith Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Smith Mills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smith Mills, ~20% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smith Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smith Mills leans more Republican than 41 of 78 neighbors.
Smith Mills runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smith Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Smith Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smith Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smith Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smith Mills runs about 49 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Smith Mills, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Smith Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smith Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 53%). Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Parcells Corner, NY R+40
- Nashville, NY R+37
- Silver Creek, NY R+19
- Forestville, NY R+37
- West Perrysburg, NY R+35
- Irving, NY D+6
- Sheridan, NY R+34
- Cottage, NY R+45
- Perrysburg, NY R+26
- Farnham, NY R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scotland, IN R+61
- Rea Valley, AR R+63
- Dennysville, ME R+26
- Ocie, MO R+65
- Lick Creek, KY R+71
- Keomah Village, IA R+53
- Arizona, LA R+56
- Harlem Springs, OH R+63
- Chapel Hill, MS R+8
- Mayfield, TX R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.