Natchez leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Natchez typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Natchez, ~37% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Natchez compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Natchez leans more Democratic than 33 of 45 neighbors.
Natchez runs about 41 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Natchez is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Natchez. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+87) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 127 points.
Why Natchez leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Natchez, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Natchez is about 38%, about 34 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Natchez have never been married, above 93% of cities. Natchez runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Natchez, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Natchez looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Natchez is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fenwick, MS R+20
- Vidalia, LA R+50
- Pine Ridge, MS D+47
- Stanton, MS D+2
- Leesdale, MS R+13
- Ridgecrest, LA R+36
- St. Genevieve, LA R+74
- Red Gum, LA R+67
- Ferriday, LA D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fortuna Foothills, AZ R+32
- Gladstone, MO D+4
- Owatonna, MN R+15
- Balch Springs, TX D+26
- Faribault, MN R+3
- Central Point, OR R+21
- Middletown, NJ R+20
- Hudson, WI R+8
- Takoma Park, MD D+77
- Columbus, NE R+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.