Natural Bridge leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Natural Bridge typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Natural Bridge, ~21% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Natural Bridge compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Natural Bridge leans more Republican than 39 of 79 neighbors.
Natural Bridge runs about 53 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Natural Bridge is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Natural Bridge. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Natural Bridge leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Natural Bridge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Natural Bridge votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Natural Bridge runs about 53 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Natural Bridge drive to work alone, above 86% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Natural Bridge, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Natural Bridge looks the way it does
Turnout in Natural Bridge sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carthage, NY R+27
- Herrings, NY R+33
- Indian River, NY R+52
- Lake Bonaparte, NY R+54
- West Carthage, NY R+29
- Naumburg, NY R+55
- Deferiet, NY R+31
- Great Bend, NY R+16
- Champion, NY R+34
- Castorland, NY R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harrisonville, PA R+76
- Brutus, MI R+25
- Brook Park, MN R+49
- Silver Cliff, CO R+38
- Unity, ID R+68
- Webster, MN R+38
- Tradesville, SC R+66
- Prospect Hill, NC R+39
- La Moille, IL R+45
- Horrel Hill, SC Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.