Lake Bonaparte is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Lake Bonaparte typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Bonaparte, ~16% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Bonaparte compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Bonaparte leans more Republican than 63 of 64 neighbors.
Lake Bonaparte runs about 66 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Lake Bonaparte is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lake Bonaparte leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Bonaparte, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake Bonaparte votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Lake Bonaparte runs about 66 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lake Bonaparte sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lake Bonaparte, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake Bonaparte looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Lake Bonaparte own their home, about 14 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pond Settlement, NY R+40
- Harrisville, NY R+49
- Geers Corners, NY R+47
- Pitcairn, NY R+43
- Natural Bridge, NY R+40
- Balmat, NY R+44
- Fullerville, NY R+44
- Indian River, NY R+52
- Fowler, NY R+44
- Spragueville, NY R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Roe, KY R+69
- Pleasure Valley, WV R+61
- Hydaburg, AK R+3
- Footville, OH R+53
- Heart Lake, PA R+50
- Belair Cove, LA R+68
- East Hope, ID R+39
- Little Lake, MI R+20
- Stonyford, CA R+39
- DeSmet, ID R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.