West Carthage leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 56% of adults in West Carthage typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in West Carthage, ~20% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How West Carthage compares
Among cities within 25 miles, West Carthage leans more Republican than 15 of 82 neighbors.
West Carthage runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while West Carthage is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within West Carthage. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 28 points.
Why West Carthage leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for West Carthage, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
West Carthage votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. West Carthage runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; West Carthage, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in West Carthage looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in West Carthage rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carthage, NY R+27
- Champion, NY R+34
- Herrings, NY R+33
- Deferiet, NY R+31
- Copenhagen, NY R+52
- Great Bend, NY R+16
- Naumburg, NY R+55
- South Rutland, NY R+37
- Felts Mills, NY R+29
- Natural Bridge, NY R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hedwig Village, TX R+29
- Terrace Park, OH D+12
- Zephyr Cove, NV R+5
- Clinton, KY R+60
- East Hampstead, NH Even
- DeBerry, TX R+63
- Jonestown, TX R+20
- Geneva, NE R+51
- George, WA R+40
- Dry Branch, GA R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.