Navajo leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Navajo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Navajo, ~31% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Navajo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Navajo leans more Democratic than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Navajo runs about 22 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Navajo is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Navajo. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+31) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 80 points.
Why Navajo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Navajo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in Navajo have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 21%). Navajo runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Navajo, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Navajo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Navajo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Navajo rent, compared to around 19% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Navajo report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sanders, AZ D+34
- Chambers, AZ D+50
- Petrified Forest Natl Pk, AZ R+31
- Houck, AZ D+51
- Paulcell Place, AZ R+23
- Wide Ruins, AZ D+51
- Pine Springs, AZ D+51
- Lupton, AZ D+55
- Hunt, AZ R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Delmont, NJ R+45
- Dolton, SD R+59
- Wrights Corners, MI R+44
- Beccaria, PA R+62
- Minerva, NY R+17
- Southview, PA R+43
- Salter Path, NC R+26
- Minter, AL D+26
- Cuthand, TX R+75
- Powcan, VA R+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.