Paulcell Place leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Paulcell Place typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paulcell Place, ~16% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paulcell Place compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paulcell Place leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.
Paulcell Place runs about 18 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paulcell Place. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Paulcell Place leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paulcell Place, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Paulcell Place live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Paulcell Place sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Paulcell Place are family households, above 91% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Paulcell Place, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Paulcell Place looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Paulcell Place is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Paulcell Place rent, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Paulcell Place have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Petrified Forest Natl Pk, AZ R+31
- Sun Valley, AZ D+8
- Holbrook, AZ R+17
- Woodruff, AZ R+55
- Navajo, AZ D+16
- Hunt, AZ R+47
- Joseph City, AZ R+65
- Snowflake, AZ R+64
- Chambers, AZ D+50
- Indian Wells, AZ D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, WA R+49
- Wetmore, OR R+49
- Kirklands Crossroads, AL R+66
- Kinzua, OR R+49
- Intracoastal City, LA R+83
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.