New Cuyama leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 64% of adults in New Cuyama typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Cuyama, ~25% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Cuyama compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Cuyama leans more Republican than 3 of 8 neighbors.
New Cuyama runs about 43 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while New Cuyama is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why New Cuyama leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Cuyama, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in New Cuyama live in densely developed areas, about 57 points below the California average of 58%. New Cuyama runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; New Cuyama, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Cuyama looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. New Cuyama is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cuyama, CA R+23
- Ventucopa, CA R+17
- Maricopa, CA R+63
- South Taft, CA R+19
- Taft, CA R+40
- Ford City, CA R+57
- Fellows, CA R+80
- Valley Acres, CA R+80
- Mc Kittrick, CA R+82
- Pine Mountain Club, CA R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yuba, MI D+12
- Rosedale, LA R+31
- Hilda, SC R+60
- Glen Rose, AR R+66
- Lignum, VA R+45
- Marlton Heights, NJ R+18
- Wall, TX R+86
- Falkland, NC Even
- Delmont, OH R+51
- Pine Valley, NY R+33
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.