New Dover leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 73% of adults in New Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Dover, ~20% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Dover leans more Republican than 34 of 83 neighbors.
New Dover runs about 35 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Dover. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 30 points.
Why New Dover leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in New Dover. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Dover, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New Dover looks the way it does
Turnout in New Dover sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Watkins, OH R+45
- Marysville, OH R+26
- Ostrander, OH R+40
- Pharisburg, OH R+55
- White Sulphur, OH R+38
- Magnetic Springs, OH R+54
- New California, OH R+14
- Arnold, OH R+34
- Unionville Center, OH R+47
- Broadway, OH R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Baskerville, VA R+27
- Chandlersville, OH R+64
- Frost, TX R+71
- Michigantown, IN R+56
- Ridgecrest, SC R+26
- Coventry, VT R+30
- Adair, IA R+46
- Patten, ME R+28
- Underwood, WA D+7
- Plainville, IN R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.