New Haven leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 72% of adults in New Haven typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Haven, ~25% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Haven compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Haven leans more Republican than 1 of 74 neighbors.
New Haven runs about 10 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Haven. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 44 points.
Why New Haven leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Haven, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Haven votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, far above the Indiana average of 25%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; New Haven, IN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Haven looks the way it does
Turnout in New Haven sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thurman, IN R+37
- Maples, IN R+55
- Fort Wayne, IN D+2
- Milan Center, IN R+64
- Tillman, IN R+55
- Hoagland, IN R+55
- Woodburn, IN R+61
- Nine Mile, IN R+34
- Monroeville, IN R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hilton, NY R+22
- Justin, TX R+40
- Lawrenceburg, IN R+48
- Waterville, ME D+8
- Ashland, VA R+5
- Eastchester, NY D+9
- Maple Shade, NJ D+15
- North Wilkesboro, NC R+49
- Charles Town, WV R+20
- Colonia, NJ R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.