Justin leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Justin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Justin, ~23% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Justin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Justin leans more Republican than 48 of 75 neighbors.
Justin runs about 27 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Justin. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Justin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Justin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Justin votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Justin are family households, above 95% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Justin, TX sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Justin looks the way it does
Turnout in Justin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Northlake, TX R+27
- DISH, TX R+71
- Corral City, TX R+36
- Roanoke, TX R+27
- Rhome, TX R+67
- Haslet, TX R+33
- Trophy Club, TX R+32
- Ponder, TX R+57
- Westlake, TX R+43
- Keller, TX R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hilton, NY R+22
- Ashland, VA R+5
- Eastchester, NY D+9
- New Haven, IN R+29
- North Wilkesboro, NC R+49
- Colonia, NJ R+9
- Brewster, NY R+9
- Lawrenceburg, IN R+48
- Sudbury, MA D+33
- Waterville, ME D+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.