New River Estates is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 72% of adults in New River Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New River Estates, ~37% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New River Estates compares
New River Estates sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
New River Estates runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while New River Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why New River Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New River Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New River Estates votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while New River Estates runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; New River Estates, Sunrise, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in New River Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in New River Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Country Isles, Weston, FL Even
- Savannah, Sunrise, FL D+14
- Welleby, Sunrise, FL D+21
- Pembroke Falls, Pembroke Pines, FL D+11
- Embassy Lakes, Cooper City, FL D+5
- Sunrise Golf Village East, Sunrise, FL D+52
- Silver Lakes, Pembroke Pines, FL D+16
- Westwood Community-North, Tamarac, FL D+18
- Davie Heights, Davie, FL D+8
- Northwood, Tamarac, FL D+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Chester Highlands, Chicago, IL D+83
- Chapel Hill, Akron, OH D+20
- Crosstown, Memphis, TN D+60
- Saint Joseph, Milwaukee, WI D+80
- Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Taylor Berry, Louisville, KY D+43
- Reservoir, Little Rock, AR D+34
- South Lorain, Lorain, OH D+21
- Huguenot, Staten Island, NY R+60
- Franklin Park, Trenton, NJ D+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.