Garnerville, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Garnerville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Garnerville is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Garnerville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garnerville, ~41% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Garnerville compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Garnerville leans more Republican than 134 of 240 neighbors.

Garnerville runs about 17 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Garnerville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garnerville. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Garnerville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garnerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Garnerville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Garnerville runs about 17 points more Republican.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Garnerville, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Garnerville looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Garnerville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.