New Vineyard leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 92% of adults in New Vineyard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Vineyard, ~29% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Vineyard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Vineyard leans more Republican than 42 of 45 neighbors.
New Vineyard runs about 45 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while New Vineyard is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Vineyard. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 29 points.
Why New Vineyard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Vineyard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Vineyard votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while New Vineyard runs about 45 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; New Vineyard, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Vineyard looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in New Vineyard own their home, about 7 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fairbanks, ME R+15
- West Mills, ME R+30
- Strong, ME R+20
- Temple, ME R+30
- West Farmington, ME R+9
- Farmington, ME D+3
- Starks, ME R+24
- Anson, ME R+31
- North New Portland, ME R+27
- Farmington Falls, ME R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Emden, IL R+57
- Bryantsville, IN R+61
- North Pembroke, NH Even
- Lane, KS R+57
- Ludlow, MS R+29
- Mayhill, NM R+44
- Earley, NC D+12
- Volente, TX R+16
- Plymouth, NY R+48
- Spring Run, PA R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.