Earley leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Earley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Earley, ~43% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Earley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Earley leans more Democratic than 34 of 58 neighbors.
Earley runs about 16 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Earley is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Earley. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+36) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 71 points.
Why Earley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Earley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Earley votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Earley runs about 16 points more Democratic.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Earley, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Earley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Earley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Aulander, NC D+6
- Connaritsa, NC D+18
- Ahoskie, NC D+33
- St. John, NC D+35
- Powellsville, NC D+35
- Menola, NC Even
- Pleasant Plains, NC D+51
- Trap, NC D+8
- Cofield, NC D+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Volente, TX R+16
- Lane, KS R+57
- Ludlow, MS R+29
- New Vineyard, ME R+38
- Bryantsville, IN R+61
- Stella Niagara, NY R+15
- Palo Pinto, TX R+74
- Mayhill, NM R+44
- Emden, IL R+57
- Spring Run, PA R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.