Mayhill leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Mayhill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayhill, ~18% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayhill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayhill leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Mayhill runs about 50 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Mayhill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayhill. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Mayhill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayhill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Mayhill live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Mayhill runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mayhill, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mayhill looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Mayhill have completed high school, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weed, NM R+75
- Sacramento, NM R+76
- Cloudcroft, NM R+31
- High Rolls Mountain Park, NM R+44
- Mountain Park, NM R+31
- Sunspot, NM R+74
- Timberon, NM R+83
- Pinon, NM R+79
- Mescalero, NM D+42
- Bent, NM R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Vineyard, ME R+38
- Ludlow, MS R+29
- Stella Niagara, NY R+15
- Palo Pinto, TX R+74
- Spring Run, PA R+74
- Bryantsville, IN R+61
- Emden, IL R+57
- Lane, KS R+57
- Earley, NC D+12
- North Pembroke, NH Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.