North Cuba leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 61% of adults in North Cuba typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Cuba, ~17% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Cuba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Cuba leans more Republican than 48 of 106 neighbors.
North Cuba runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Cuba is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Cuba. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 64 points.
Why North Cuba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Cuba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Cuba votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Cuba runs about 57 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; North Cuba, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in North Cuba looks the way it does
Turnout in North Cuba sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cuba, NY R+36
- Black Creek, NY R+54
- Marshall, NY R+53
- Rawson, NY R+51
- Rockville, NY R+45
- Friendship, NY R+47
- Ischua, NY R+48
- Haskell Flats, NY R+42
- Maplehurst, NY R+43
- Hinsdale, NY R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pardee, WV R+73
- Labolt, SD R+53
- Fandon, IL R+50
- Martha, OK R+72
- Moose Pass, AK R+37
- Springdale, IA R+37
- Pentz, CA R+36
- Shinhopple, NY R+12
- Harlan Crossroads, KY R+63
- Tangier, IN R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.