Cuba leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Cuba typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cuba, ~23% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cuba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cuba leans more Republican than 15 of 104 neighbors.
Cuba runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cuba is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cuba. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Cuba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cuba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cuba votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cuba runs about 48 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Cuba runs against that pattern.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Cuba, NY does.
Why turnout in Cuba looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cuba is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Cuba, NY R+45
- Haskell Flats, NY R+42
- Maplehurst, NY R+43
- Hinsdale, NY R+44
- West Clarksville, NY R+47
- Black Creek, NY R+54
- Ischua, NY R+48
- Friendship, NY R+47
- Haydenville, NY R+33
- Nile, NY R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Wyomissing, PA Even
- Shark River Hills, NJ R+4
- Esparto, CA D+4
- North Yarmouth, ME D+12
- Whitewright, TX R+64
- Cut Bank, MT R+24
- Grand Ridge, FL R+60
- Proctor, MN D+5
- Unadilla, GA R+10
- Pound, VA R+48
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.