North Lawrence leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 69% of adults in North Lawrence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Lawrence, ~20% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Lawrence leans more Republican than 53 of 59 neighbors.
North Lawrence runs about 54 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Lawrence is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why North Lawrence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Lawrence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Lawrence votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Lawrence runs about 54 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; North Lawrence, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in North Lawrence looks the way it does
Turnout in North Lawrence sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lawrenceville, NY R+42
- Nicholville, NY R+35
- Winthrop, NY R+33
- Brasher Falls, NY R+36
- Hopkinton, NY R+36
- Dickinson Center, NY R+47
- Moira, NY R+37
- Stockholm Center, NY R+34
- Brasher Iron Works, NY R+35
- Brushton, NY R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Melvin, MI R+55
- Strausstown, PA R+54
- Birchwood Village, MN D+27
- Ashippun, WI R+49
- Big Stone City, SD R+54
- Nashville, CA R+36
- Grey Eagle, MN R+54
- Sheffield, IL R+34
- Texhoma, OK R+69
- Fish Creek, WI D+22
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.