Hopkinton leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Hopkinton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopkinton, ~23% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hopkinton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hopkinton leans more Republican than 49 of 61 neighbors.
Hopkinton runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hopkinton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hopkinton. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Hopkinton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hopkinton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Hopkinton live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the New York average of 36%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hopkinton fits that profile on both counts. Hopkinton runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hopkinton, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hopkinton looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Hopkinton own their home, about 18 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nicholville, NY R+35
- Lawrenceville, NY R+42
- Pickettville, NY R+30
- Parishville, NY R+28
- North Lawrence, NY R+41
- Winthrop, NY R+33
- Parishville Center, NY R+22
- Dickinson Center, NY R+47
- St. Regis Falls, NY R+12
- West Stockholm, NY R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kalapana, HI D+20
- Elm Flat, TX R+54
- Rocky, OK R+79
- Clinton, AL D+50
- Clam River, MI R+17
- Nanticoke, MD R+26
- Randolph, IL R+34
- Purman, MO R+71
- Idamay, WV R+51
- St. James, IN R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.