Nashville leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Nashville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nashville, ~22% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nashville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nashville leans more Republican than 50 of 56 neighbors.
Nashville runs about 56 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Nashville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Nashville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nashville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nashville votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Nashville runs about 56 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Nashville are family households, above 81% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Nashville, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Nashville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Nashville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Nashville own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- El Dorado, CA R+30
- Outingdale, CA R+34
- Diamond Springs, CA R+29
- Shingle Springs, CA R+24
- River Pines, CA R+34
- Latrobe, CA R+26
- Plymouth, CA R+38
- Placerville, CA R+21
- Cameron Park, CA R+17
- Mount Aukum, CA R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Lawrence, NY R+41
- Ashippun, WI R+49
- Melvin, MI R+55
- Strausstown, PA R+54
- Birchwood Village, MN D+27
- Big Stone City, SD R+54
- Sheffield, IL R+34
- Porter, NC R+51
- Grey Eagle, MN R+54
- Graingers, NC R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.