Northdale leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Northdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northdale, ~38% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northdale compares
Politically, Northdale sits close to the rest of Minnesota.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Northdale. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+20) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Northdale leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Northdale. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Northdale, Coon Rapids, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Northdale looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 86% of households in Northdale own their home, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Woodcrest, Coon Rapids, MN D+12
- Shingle Creek, Minneapolis, MN D+47
- Lind-Bohanon, Minneapolis, MN D+56
- Victory, Minneapolis, MN D+57
- Webber-Camden, Minneapolis, MN D+61
- Waite Park, Minneapolis, MN D+55
- Folwell, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Audubon Park, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Jordan, Minneapolis, MN D+63
- Holland, Minneapolis, MN D+67
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Valley View, York, PA Even
- Brookhaven-Lansdowne, Lexington, KY D+25
- Shadow Wood, Coral Springs, FL D+26
- Kensington-San Francisco, Berkeley, CA D+84
- Belknap, Louisville, KY D+49
- Angels Triangle, El Paso, TX D+22
- University-Syracuse, Syracuse, NY D+74
- Mark Twain, St. Louis, MO D+85
- Woodland Heights, Springfield, MO R+8
- Westwood Richland, Abilene, TX R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.