Kensington-San Francisco, Berkeley, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kensington-San Francisco

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kensington-San Francisco is a Democratic stronghold. About 92% of voters here vote Democratic and 8% Republican.

 

About 92% of adults in Kensington-San Francisco typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kensington-San Francisco, ~85% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kensington-San Francisco compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Kensington-San Francisco leans more Democratic than 19 of 25 neighbors.

Kensington-San Francisco runs about 64 points more Democratic than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Kensington-San Francisco. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+89) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+77), a spread of about 12 points.

Why Kensington-San Francisco leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kensington-San Francisco, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 85% of adults in Kensington-San Francisco hold a bachelor's degree, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 28%.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kensington-San Francisco, Berkeley, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Kensington-San Francisco looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kensington-San Francisco is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 80%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in Kensington-San Francisco own their home, compared to around 52% in nearby neighborhoods. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Kensington-San Francisco have completed high school, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.