Northfield is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in Northfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northfield, ~36% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northfield sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 15 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 59 leaning the other way.
Northfield runs about 30 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Northfield. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Northfield leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Northfield. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Northfield, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Northfield looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Northfield have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Northfield, VT D+6
- Roxbury, VT Even
- Williamstown, VT R+40
- Brookfield Center, VT D+18
- Waitsfield, VT D+29
- Barre, VT D+3
- Montpelier, VT D+42
- Graniteville, VT R+20
- Brookfield, VT D+14
- Websterville, VT R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carnation, WA D+16
- Bellevue, KY Even
- Reinholds, PA R+41
- Glen Rose, TX R+66
- Chilton, WI R+38
- Mount Ephraim, NJ Even
- Buena Vista, MI D+75
- Ely, NV R+60
- Four Corners, MT R+14
- Rowley, MA D+10
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.