Roxbury is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in Roxbury typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Roxbury, ~41% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Roxbury compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Roxbury sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 62 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 15 leaning the other way.
Roxbury runs about 34 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Roxbury sits closer to the political middle.
Why Roxbury leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Roxbury, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Roxbury votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Roxbury runs about 34 points more Republican.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Roxbury, VT does.
Why turnout in Roxbury looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Roxbury own their home, about 9 points above the Vermont average of 83%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Roxbury have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Northfield, VT D+6
- Northfield, VT D+2
- Brookfield Center, VT D+18
- Warren, VT D+46
- Brookfield, VT D+14
- Granville, VT D+16
- Waitsfield, VT D+29
- Williamstown, VT R+40
- Peth, VT D+13
- Lower Granville, VT D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crooked Oak, AL R+76
- Conway, KY R+66
- Neva Corners, WI R+50
- Graceville, MN R+44
- Collettsville, NC R+63
- Monroe, NH R+20
- Portsville, DE R+52
- Cisco, IL R+42
- Peck, ID R+60
- Rappahannock Academy, VA R+15
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.