O'Neals leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 48% of adults in O'Neals typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in O'Neals, ~14% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How O'Neals compares
Among cities within 25 miles, O'Neals leans more Republican than 25 of 29 neighbors.
O'Neals runs about 61 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while O'Neals is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within O'Neals. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 17 points.
Why O'Neals leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for O'Neals, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
O'Neals votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while O'Neals runs about 61 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and O'Neals sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 88% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in O'Neals are family households, above 90% of cities.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; O'Neals, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in O'Neals looks the way it does
Turnout in O'Neals sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coarsegold, CA R+29
- Wishon, CA R+27
- New Auberry, CA R+38
- North Fork, CA R+24
- Raymond, CA R+39
- South Fork, CA R+23
- Oakhurst, CA R+20
- Bass Lake, CA R+25
- Friant, CA R+40
- Auberry, CA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Thomas, MO R+71
- Calwood, MO R+55
- Kibler, AR R+67
- Whitleyville, TN R+65
- Dundee, WI R+40
- Snowflake, WV R+58
- Roxbury, NY R+4
- Cornwell, SC R+46
- Pelican City, OR R+28
- East Camden, AR R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.