Oak Forest-Garden Oaks leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Oak Forest-Garden Oaks typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Forest-Garden Oaks, ~35% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Forest-Garden Oaks compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oak Forest-Garden Oaks leans more Democratic than 1 of 9 neighbors.
Oak Forest-Garden Oaks runs about 27 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Oak Forest-Garden Oaks is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Oak Forest-Garden Oaks. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Oak Forest-Garden Oaks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Forest-Garden Oaks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Forest-Garden Oaks votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Oak Forest-Garden Oaks runs about 27 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Oak Forest-Garden Oaks, Houston, TX sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Forest-Garden Oaks looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Forest-Garden Oaks is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northside Northline, Houston, TX D+32
- Independence Heights, Houston, TX D+53
- Acres Home, Houston, TX D+71
- Greater Inwood, Houston, TX D+38
- Greater Heights, Houston, TX D+24
- Fairbanks-Northwest Crossing, Houston, TX D+31
- Near Northwest, Houston, TX D+26
- Spring Branch, Houston, TX D+8
- Rice Military, Houston, TX D+22
- North, Houston, TX D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rancho Charleston, Las Vegas, NV D+23
- Greater Eastside, St. Paul, MN D+32
- Bellevue, Nashville, TN D+8
- Alexandria Wrest, Alexandria, VA D+51
- South Central Omaha, Omaha, NE D+15
- Wissanoning, Philadelphia, PA D+30
- Pottage Park, Chicago, IL D+26
- Reynolds Corners, Toledo, OH D+34
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- West Bloomington, Bloomington, MN D+33
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.