Makiki leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Makiki typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Makiki, ~30% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Makiki compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Makiki leans more Democratic than 13 of 15 neighbors.
Makiki runs about 11 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Makiki. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+38) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Makiki leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Makiki. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Makiki, Honolulu, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Makiki looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in Makiki have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Downtown, Honolulu, HI D+33
- Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Mxcully-Moiliili, Honolulu, HI D+34
- The Arts District, Honolulu, HI D+23
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Liliha-Kapalama, Honolulu, HI D+23
- Diamond Head-Kapahulu-St Louis, Honolulu, HI D+36
- Kalihi-Palama, Honolulu, HI D+11
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Reynolds Corners, Toledo, OH D+34
- Montrose, Houston, TX D+39
- Anthem, Henderson, NV Even
- Midtown Atlanta, Atlanta, GA D+56
- Wynnefield, Philadelphia, PA D+79
- North Central, Virginia Beach, VA D+5
- Bull Mountain, Tigard, OR D+33
- Westerleigh-Castleton, Staten Island, NY R+32
- Bellevue, Nashville, TN D+8
- Highlands, Lowell, MA D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.