Oak Run leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Oak Run typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Run, ~18% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Run compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Run leans more Republican than 12 of 22 neighbors.
Oak Run runs about 59 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Oak Run is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Oak Run leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Run, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Run votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Oak Run runs about 59 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Oak Run sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 79% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Oak Run, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Run looks the way it does
Turnout in Oak Run sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ingot, CA R+39
- Whitmore, CA R+41
- Round Mountain, CA R+37
- Bella Vista, CA R+46
- Obrien, CA R+38
- Millville, CA R+44
- Whiskeytown, CA R+39
- Montgomery Creek, CA R+37
- Shingletown, CA R+38
- Palo Cedro, CA R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Horner, WV R+60
- Escalante, UT R+57
- Bunch, OK R+52
- Medina, TX R+63
- Washington, ME R+29
- Cool, TX R+76
- Hymera, IN R+61
- Sugar Tree, TN R+71
- Seth, WV R+66
- Saybrook, IL R+46
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.