Montgomery Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Montgomery Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montgomery Creek, ~16% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montgomery Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montgomery Creek leans more Republican than 3 of 16 neighbors.
Montgomery Creek runs about 57 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Montgomery Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Montgomery Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montgomery Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Montgomery Creek live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the California average of 58%. Montgomery Creek runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Montgomery Creek, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Montgomery Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Montgomery Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Round Mountain, CA R+37
- Big Bend, CA R+36
- Ingot, CA R+39
- Oak Run, CA R+39
- Burney, CA R+41
- Johnson Park, CA R+43
- Whitmore, CA R+41
- Cayton, CA R+44
- Whiskeytown, CA R+39
- Obrien, CA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carrier, OK R+72
- Homer, IN R+61
- Felton, MN R+34
- Trapper Creek, AK R+34
- Port Haywood, VA R+46
- Laurel Mountain, PA R+34
- Laurel Lake, PA R+47
- Holiday Valley, OH R+34
- Pennington, TX R+71
- Twin Buttes, ND R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.