Bella Vista leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Bella Vista typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bella Vista, ~18% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bella Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bella Vista leans more Republican than 24 of 26 neighbors.
Bella Vista runs about 67 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Bella Vista is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bella Vista. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Bella Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bella Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bella Vista votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Bella Vista runs about 67 points more Republican.
Uninsured rate and voter turnout
Places with a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bella Vista, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Insurance coverage does not directly drive turnout; it reflects the income and stability that line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bella Vista looks the way it does
Turnout in Bella Vista sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Obrien, CA R+38
- Palo Cedro, CA R+42
- Whiskeytown, CA R+39
- Millville, CA R+44
- Shasta Lake, CA R+35
- Ingot, CA R+39
- Redding, CA R+25
- Oak Run, CA R+39
- Summit City, CA R+40
- Keswick, CA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buhler, KS R+57
- Hyndman, PA R+70
- Riverside, PA R+28
- Preston, TX R+63
- Moreauville, LA R+62
- West River, MD R+14
- Hermon, ME R+10
- Stevinson, CA R+50
- Pocahontas, IA R+46
- Pleasant Hill, OH R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.