Oakland is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Oakland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakland, ~38% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oakland leans more Republican than 30 of 71 neighbors.
Oakland runs about 10 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oakland. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Oakland leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Oakland. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Oakland, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oakland looks the way it does
Turnout in Oakland sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winter Garden, FL Even
- Tildenville, FL D+13
- Montverde, FL R+37
- Ocoee, FL D+6
- Windermere, FL R+13
- Gotha, FL D+3
- Clermont, FL R+16
- Horizon West, FL R+7
- Minneola, FL R+18
- Pine Hills, FL D+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Russiaville, IN R+54
- Aledo, IL R+28
- Adamsville, TN R+75
- Neptune City, NJ D+4
- Shady Cove, OR R+27
- Marion, NY R+33
- Lake Tansi, TN R+54
- Medway, OH R+43
- Axton, VA R+28
- Carbondale, CA R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.