Montverde leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Montverde typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montverde, ~24% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montverde compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montverde leans more Republican than 52 of 68 neighbors.
Montverde runs about 24 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montverde. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Montverde leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montverde, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Montverde votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Montverde are family households, above 88% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Montverde, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Montverde looks the way it does
Turnout in Montverde sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Minneola, FL R+18
- Oakland, FL R+3
- Clermont, FL R+16
- Winter Garden, FL Even
- Tildenville, FL D+13
- Orange Blossom, FL R+54
- Astatula, FL R+51
- Groveland, FL R+23
- Ocoee, FL D+6
- Lake Jem, FL R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blanding, UT R+65
- Mexico, NY R+32
- West Burlington, IA R+15
- Minersville, PA R+26
- Arnold, PA D+18
- Harvard, MA D+28
- Montello, WI R+36
- Dell Rapids, SD R+42
- South Tucson, AZ D+44
- Sheridan, IL R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.