Oakley is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Oakley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakley, ~22% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oakley leans more Republican than 33 of 63 neighbors.
Oakley runs about 64 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Oakley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Oakley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oakley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oakley votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Oakley runs about 64 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Oakley are family households, above 97% of cities.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oakley, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oakley looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 98% of households in Oakley own their home, about 18 points above the Illinois average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Oakley have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cerro Gordo, IL R+41
- Oreana, IL R+45
- Argenta, IL R+45
- Long Creek, IL R+45
- La Place, IL R+49
- Milmine, IL R+45
- Newburg, IL R+51
- Mount Zion, IL R+40
- Decatur, IL D+5
- Lintner, IL R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Perkins, MI R+40
- Maysfield, TX R+56
- Odd, WV R+71
- Bondville, IL R+39
- Forest Park, PA R+40
- Otsego Lake, MI R+30
- Helena, MO R+60
- Lackey, VA D+4
- Westport, OK R+65
- Wycombe, PA R+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.