Ocate leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Ocate typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ocate, ~34% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ocate compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ocate leans more Democratic than 8 of 23 neighbors.
Politically, Ocate sits close to the rest of New Mexico.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ocate. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Ocate leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ocate, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in Ocate hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Ocate have never been married, above 89% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Ocate, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ocate looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Ocate have completed high school, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Ocate sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Los Hueros, NM D+10
- Guadalupita, NM D+7
- Lake View Pines, NM R+9
- Idlewild, NM R+9
- Ojo Feliz, NM D+12
- Angel Fire, NM R+8
- Chacon, NM D+21
- Rainsville, NM D+15
- Valle Escondido, NM D+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jamaica, IL R+62
- Porterfield, OH R+41
- Diamond, OR R+65
- Creelsboro, KY R+75
- Craige, WA R+49
- Hortense, MO R+66
- Ruso, ND R+64
- Hamburg, AL D+40
- Dover, ND R+60
- Carlile, WY R+81
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.