Valle Escondido leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Valle Escondido typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valle Escondido, ~46% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valle Escondido compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valle Escondido leans more Democratic than 24 of 34 neighbors.
Valle Escondido runs about 42 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valle Escondido. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+52) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Valle Escondido leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valle Escondido, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in Valle Escondido hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Valle Escondido have never been married, above 76% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Valle Escondido, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Valle Escondido looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valle Escondido is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Valle Escondido sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Angel Fire, NM R+8
- Idlewild, NM R+9
- Lake View Pines, NM R+9
- Taos, NM D+50
- Ranchito, NM D+46
- Taos Pueblo, NM D+70
- Ranchos de Taos, NM D+34
- Talpa, NM D+48
- Eagle Nest, NM R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alchesay Flat, AZ D+6
- Dulaney, TN R+70
- Head Tide, ME D+4
- Savageville, VA R+24
- Harmon, OK R+78
- Rock Elm, WI R+35
- Elida, NM R+79
- Belvoir, VA R+9
- Haddam, KS R+76
- Eleven Mile Corner, AZ R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.