Old Harbor leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 53% of adults in Old Harbor typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old Harbor, ~31% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Old Harbor compares
Old Harbor runs about 30 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Old Harbor is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Old Harbor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Old Harbor have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 28%). Old Harbor runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Old Harbor, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Old Harbor looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Old Harbor is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Old Harbor rent, above 87% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Old Harbor report food insecurity, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chiniak, AK R+30
- Port Lions, AK D+4
- Ouzinkie, AK R+12
- Kodiak, AK R+17
- Port Graham, AK D+9
- King Salmon, AK D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Torrey, FL R+39
- Croydon, UT R+63
- Panacoochee Retreats, FL R+50
- Nunam Iqua, AK D+21
- Triumph, IL R+40
- Pedro, FL R+47
- Deer Creek, IN R+62
- Nyman, IA R+53
- Mill Creek, IL R+54
- Powell, SD R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.