Orchard District leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Orchard District typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard District, ~51% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchard District compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Orchard District leans more Democratic than 4 of 5 neighbors.
Orchard District runs about 14 points more Democratic than Oregon as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Orchard District. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+58) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Orchard District leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Orchard District. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Orchard District, Bend, OR sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Orchard District looks the way it does
Turnout in Orchard District sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Silver Terrace, San Francisco, CA D+36
- Little Italy, Manhattan, NY D+58
- Portsmouth, Portland, OR D+61
- Highland Garden, Hollywood, FL D+37
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- South Side, Scranton, PA D+16
- Vista, Boise, ID D+18
- City Center West, Philadelphia, PA D+70
- Twin Lakes, Federal Way, WA D+28
- Faneuil, Brighton, MA D+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.