Little Italy, Manhattan, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Little Italy

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Little Italy is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in Little Italy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Italy, ~35% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Little Italy compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Little Italy leans more Democratic than 16 of 48 neighbors.

Little Italy runs about 46 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Why Little Italy leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Italy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Little Italy live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Little Italy sits in the top quarter (about 69%, above 90% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in Little Italy have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Little Italy, Manhattan, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Little Italy looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 91% of households in Little Italy rent, about 67 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Little Italy have more than one occupant per room, above 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.