Orchard Grass Hills, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Orchard Grass Hills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Orchard Grass Hills leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About 81% of adults in Orchard Grass Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard Grass Hills, ~35% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Orchard Grass Hills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Orchard Grass Hills leans more Republican than 52 of 124 neighbors.

Orchard Grass Hills runs about 16 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orchard Grass Hills. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 30 points.

Why Orchard Grass Hills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orchard Grass Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Orchard Grass Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 54%, far above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Orchard Grass Hills are family households, above 96% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Orchard Grass Hills, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Orchard Grass Hills looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orchard Grass Hills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Orchard Grass Hills have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.