Overgaard leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Overgaard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Overgaard, ~20% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Overgaard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Overgaard leans more Republican than 2 of 5 neighbors.
Overgaard runs about 44 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Overgaard. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Overgaard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Overgaard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Overgaard votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, modestly below the Arizona average of 39%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Overgaard, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Overgaard looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Overgaard own their home, about 20 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Heber-Overgaard, AZ R+49
- Heber, AZ R+51
- Clay Springs, AZ R+63
- Pinedale, AZ R+61
- Forest Lakes, AZ R+41
- Linden, AZ R+55
- Taylor, AZ R+63
- Cibecue, AZ D+57
- Shumway, AZ R+61
- Snowflake, AZ R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Everetts, NC R+30
- Westover Hills, TX R+32
- Mulberry, GA R+52
- Norborne, MO R+64
- Moreland, AR R+74
- North Irwin, PA R+21
- Libertyville, IA R+48
- Millwood, KY R+67
- Coxey, AL R+72
- Oilla, TX R+73
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.