Overtown leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Overtown typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Overtown, ~27% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Overtown compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Overtown leans more Democratic than 15 of 17 neighbors.
Overtown runs about 50 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Overtown is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Overtown. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Overtown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Overtown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Overtown votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Overtown runs about 50 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in Overtown have never been married, above 86% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Overtown, Miami, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Overtown looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Overtown is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 16 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 86% of households in Overtown rent, compared to around 68% in nearby neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Overtown sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Eastmont, Oakland, CA D+72
- Hough, Cleveland, OH D+85
- Milwood, Austin, TX D+42
- South Central Westminster, Westminster, CO D+19
- Fenton Area, Fenton, MO R+27
- Olympic Hills, Seattle, WA D+58
- Applewood, Lakewood, CO D+26
- Energy Corridor, Houston, TX D+21
- Phoebus, Hampton, VA D+52
- Twin Lakes, Las Vegas, NV D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.