Upper Eastside leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Upper Eastside typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upper Eastside, ~35% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Upper Eastside compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Upper Eastside leans more Democratic than 9 of 12 neighbors.
Upper Eastside runs about 38 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Upper Eastside is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Upper Eastside. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Upper Eastside leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upper Eastside, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Upper Eastside votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Upper Eastside runs about 38 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Upper Eastside, Miami, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Upper Eastside looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Upper Eastside is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Little Haiti, Miami, FL D+54
- Model City, Miami, FL D+60
- Wynwood, Miami, FL D+12
- Normandy Isles, North Bay Village, FL R+4
- Bayshore, Miami Beach, FL R+4
- North Shores, North Bay Village, FL R+7
- Allapattah, Miami, FL R+6
- Oceanfront, Miami Beach, FL R+7
- Overtown, Miami, FL D+37
- Downtown Miami, Miami, FL D+6
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.