Oxford leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Oxford typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxford, ~30% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oxford leans more Democratic than 81 of 91 neighbors.
Oxford runs about 27 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Oxford is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oxford. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 65 points.
Why Oxford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 63% of residents in Oxford live in densely developed areas, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Oxford sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 83% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 65% of adults in Oxford have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Oxford, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oxford looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 59% of households in Oxford rent, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 96% of adults in Oxford have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Reily, OH R+53
- Bath, IN R+66
- College Corner, OH R+45
- West College Corner, IN R+59
- Morning Sun, OH R+52
- Old Bath, IN R+65
- Millville, OH R+61
- Mount Carmel, IN R+68
- Cottage Grove, IN R+63
- Seven Mile, OH R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilsonville, OR D+21
- Shelbyville, KY R+26
- Highland Park, IL D+50
- Leland, NC R+18
- Allen Park, MI R+3
- Uniondale, NY D+58
- Marquette, MI D+18
- Forest Hills, MI Even
- Monroeville, PA D+20
- Graham, NC R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.