Paauhau leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Paauhau typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paauhau, ~30% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paauhau compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paauhau leans more Democratic than 1 of 5 neighbors.
Politically, Paauhau sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Why Paauhau leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paauhau, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in Paauhau have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 28%).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Paauhau, HI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Paauhau looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in Paauhau rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Paauhau report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Volcano, HI D+31
- Piihonua, HI D+22
- Fern Forest, HI D+28
- Kukui, HI D+27
- Mountain View, HI D+20
- Hilo, HI D+24
- Wainaku, HI D+18
- Kurtistown, HI D+18
- Onomea, HI D+37
- Umikoa, HI D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Orange Blossom, FL R+54
- Bates, OR R+59
- Tennille, FL R+73
- Ferguson, AR R+10
- Dunnstown, PA R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.