Painesdale leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Painesdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Painesdale, ~26% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Painesdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Painesdale leans more Republican than 42 of 44 neighbors.
Painesdale runs about 27 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Painesdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Painesdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Painesdale sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 12 points above the Michigan average of 83%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Painesdale, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Painesdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Painesdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Trimountain, MI R+28
- South Range, MI R+10
- Atlantic Mine, MI R+5
- Dodgeville, MI Even
- Schmidt Corner, MI R+12
- Chassell, MI R+6
- Tapiola, MI R+18
- Houghton, MI D+35
- Hancock, MI D+18
- Toivola, MI R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Benedict, GA R+74
- Pond Hill, PA R+47
- Hollytree, AL R+70
- Gibtown, TX R+80
- Farrville, IN R+60
- San Pedro, TX Even
- Brush Valley, PA R+62
- Forest Springs, CA D+41
- Winter Harbor, ME R+16
- Miamitown, OH R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.