Painted Post, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Painted Post

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Painted Post leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Painted Post typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Painted Post, ~30% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Painted Post compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Painted Post leans more Republican than 18 of 108 neighbors.

Painted Post runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Painted Post is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Painted Post. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 33 points.

Why Painted Post leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Painted Post, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Painted Post votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, above 82% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Painted Post runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Painted Post, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Painted Post looks the way it does

Turnout in Painted Post sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.