Hornby leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Hornby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hornby, ~23% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hornby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hornby leans more Republican than 55 of 108 neighbors.
Hornby runs about 51 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hornby is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hornby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hornby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hornby votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hornby runs about 51 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Hornby are family households, above 93% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hornby, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hornby looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Hornby have completed high school, about 6 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ferenbaugh, NY R+34
- Meads Creek, NY R+46
- Beaver Dams, NY R+39
- Post Creek, NY R+37
- Chambers, NY R+39
- Monterey, NY R+47
- Painted Post, NY R+23
- Riverside, NY R+21
- South Bradford, NY R+43
- Corning, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Clarendon, VT R+21
- Pine Flat, AL R+79
- New Zion, KY R+76
- Dodson, MT R+60
- Dover, IN R+51
- Peru, KS R+78
- Kilgore, OH R+63
- Vine Grove Junction, KY R+10
- Carpio, ND R+64
- Spade, TX R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.